Food Security Simulator Nigeria

  • From
    CGIAR Initiative on National Policies and Strategies
  • Published on
    26.10.23

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The Food Security Simulator is an innovative and easy-to-use, MS-Excel-based tool for assessing the potential short-term impacts of food price or household income shocks on food security and people’s diets. The Simulator is an ideal tool for first-cut, forward-looking evaluations of direct, household-level outcomes of economic crises and policy responses in a timely manner.

The tool allows users to enter positive and negative price or income changes in percentage terms and provides simulated changes for a diverse set of food-consumption- and diet-quality-related indicators. In addition to detailed tabular presentations of all simulation results by household income quintile and residential area, key indicator results are summarized in concise overview tables and visualized in graphs for easy export and use in reports.

The underlying data include estimates from representative household survey data and rigorous, sophisticated food demand models to capture consumer behavior.


Now Available! Food Security Simulator Nigeria Tool*

*NOTE: You need to download the 2 files to run the tool.


Related Resources

Income and price elasticities of food demand (E-FooD) dataset: Documentation of estimation methodology.  Learn more about the methodology for estimating the income and price elasticities of food demand that are used in the Food Security Simulator for Nigeria and other NPS focus countries.

Measure changes in diet deprivation: New indicators and methods Learn more about the new measure of household diet quality – the Reference Diet Deprivation (ReDD) index – that is used in the Food Security Simulator for Nigeria and other NPS focus countries.


The Food Security Simulator Nigeria was developed by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), under the CGIAR Research Initiative on National Policies and Strategies (NPS), with important contributions from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security (FMAFS), Federal Ministry of Humanitarian Affairs, and Poverty Alleviation Reduction (FMHAPA), and other partners in Nigeria during the validation processes of the tool. This work was made possible by support from the CGIAR Trust Fund 

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