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Climate change and variability are intensifying the vulnerabilities of smallholder farmers, putting their agricultural livelihoods at risk. The 2023/2024 El Niño – regarded as one of the strongest on record by the WMO – brought widespread drought to Zambia, causing water scarcity, crop failures and significant agricultural losses. During this season, much of the southern region of the country received less than a third of its typical rainfall, with only around 250 mm recorded. Prolonged dry spells of over 30 days struck at critical stages such as flowering and grain-filling, leading to widespread drought. As a result, nearly 1 million hectares of maize out of an estimated 2,272,931 hectares of maize were severely affected by the drought, resulting in crop failure (Republic of Zambia, April 2024). Between October 2023 and March 2024, approximately 2 million people (23% of the population) were expected to face severe food insecurity.

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